Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair?
Markets
Before Jan 1, 2028
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $3.1K · Liquidity $1.2K
Before Jan 1, 2027
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $2.4K · Liquidity $2K
Before Jan 1, 2031
- Yes75%
- No25%
Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $1.1K
Before Jan 1, 2030
- Yes10%
- No90%
Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $815
Before Jan 1, 2029
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $84.3 · Liquidity $83.3
Resolution rules
If Kevin Warsh leaves as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Politics markets
Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?
No: 56%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jul 1, 2030
Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?
Adam Telle: 41%
24h vol $41 · Ends Jan 8, 2030
Courts consider Amazon a monopoly?
No: 54%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will the Onion Futures Act be repealed?
Before 2030: 27%
24h vol $31.7K · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will CK Hutchison win its Panama ports arbitration?
No: 60%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will SCOTUS recognize a right to possess AR-15-style rifles?
Yes: 84%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 41%
24h vol $323.8 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
AfD in a German state government?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 95%
24h vol $40 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will Zohran Mamdani announce his departure as Mayor of New York City?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 32%
24h vol $24.9 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will China obtain an EUV machine?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 65%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will Congressional salaries increase?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 46%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum?
No: 72%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030