Politics Prediction Markets
Live Kalshi event contracts on elections, Congress, policy and world leaders. Prices show the crowd's odds, not certainties.
Data from Kalshi, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Ohio Senate winner? (2028)
Republican party: 52%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 7, 2029
New Hampshire Governor General Election: voter turnout
Above 500K: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New Hampshire 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 250K: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Connecticut Senate winner? (2028)
Democratic party: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 7, 2029
Georgia Lieutenant Governor winner?
Josh McLaurin: 65%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Nebraska 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 190K: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Who will run for Pennsylvania Senate in 2028?
Chris Deluzio: 88%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 16, 2028
Will the U.S. commit $15 billion to Sunnyside Yard?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 21%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Montana 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 160K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
North Carolina 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 190K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Which Canadian provinces will call a snap election before 2028?
Manitoba: 68%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Will Georgia officially switch to permanent daylight saving time?
No: 91%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Montana 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 190K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Mississippi 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 142K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Mississippi 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 164K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Mississippi 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 165K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Washington 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 150K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Missouri 08 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 170K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will Congressional salaries increase?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 46%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will SCOTUS recognize a right to possess AR-15-style rifles?
Yes: 84%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Missouri 07 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 180K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Missouri 06 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 180K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Valladolid municipal election winner?
PP: 67%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 22, 2028
Will a ballot initiative on California secession qualify for a vote before 2030?
No: 78%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Minnesota Governor General Election: voter turnout
Above 2M: 89%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Michigan 11 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 260K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Michigan 07 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 300K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will Chile and Bolivia restore ambassador-level relations?
Before 2028: 26%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Michigan 06 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 300K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Who will be the next Secretary General of NATO?
Mette Frederiksen: 27%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 8, 2099
When will Kari Lake be confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica?
Before Apr 1, 2027: 21%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 1, 2027
Minnesota 06 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 250K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Minnesota 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 250K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Kentucky 05 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 170K: 89%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New Jersey 07 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 240K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Kentucky 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Kansas 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 240K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Michigan 09 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 320K: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Michigan 08 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 290K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Michigan 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 330K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Maryland 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 210K: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Indiana 06 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 140K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Indiana 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 140K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Illinois Senate General Election: voter turnout
Above 3.30M: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Which of these African leaders will leave office next?
Bola Tinubu: 20%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2035
Illinois Governor General Election: voter turnout
Above 3.30M: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Illinois 17 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 190K: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will Trump approve a new city on federal land?
Before Jan 20, 2029: 35%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 20, 2029