Politics Prediction Markets
Live Kalshi event contracts on elections, Congress, policy and world leaders. Prices show the crowd's odds, not certainties.
Data from Kalshi, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Guatemala City mayoral election winner?
Roberto González: 27%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 27, 2028
Minnesota 05 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 210K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Minnesota 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 210K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Massachusetts Senate General Election: voter turnout
Above 2.00M: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Michigan 05 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 260K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Kenya United Opposition presidential flagbearer?
Kalonzo Musyoka: 46%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jul 12, 2027
Will Fox win summary judgment against Smartmatic?
No: 82%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Maine Governor General Election: voter turnout
Above 560K: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Texas's 1st District margin of victory
Moran, 29+ pts: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
2028 London mayoral election winner?
Sadiq Khan: 26%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 1, 2029
Massachusetts 08 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 220K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Rhode Island's 1st District margin of victory
Amo, 23+ pts: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will Georgia regulators approve 4 more gigawatts of generating capacity?
Yes: 66%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 1, 2028
Massachusetts 05 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 160K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Indiana 07 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 126K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Pennsylvania's 17th District margin of victory
Deluzio, 3+ pts: 88%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Massachusetts 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 210K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Louisiana 05 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 60K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Tennessee's 5th District margin of victory
Hatcher, 2+ pts: 84%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will New Hampshire schedule its 2028 presidential primary before South Carolina?
Yes: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 22, 2028
Louisiana 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 185K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Tennessee's 4th District margin of victory
DesJarlais, 6+ pts: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Missouri's 5th District margin of victory
Republicans, 15+ pts: 6%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Missouri's 5th District margin of victory
Democrats, 3+ pts: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Kentucky 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Kentucky 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Kansas Senate General Election: voter turnout
Above 850K: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Tennessee's 3rd District margin of victory
Fleischmann, 19+ pts: 78%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
When will the EU reach a long-term budget deal?
Before Sep 1, 2027: 76%
24h vol $0 · Ends Sep 1, 2027
Kansas Governor General Election: voter turnout
Above 810K: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Kansas 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 190K: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Kansas 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 180K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Kansas 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 210K: 87%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Indiana 09 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 170K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Indiana 05 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 180K: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
South Carolina Governor margin of victory
No: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
South Carolina's 7th District margin of victory
Fry, 3+ pts: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will Maryland approve the Camden Yards ground lease before 2028?
No: 71%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Will Netanyahu be arrested?
Before Jan 1, 2027: 4%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Indiana 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 150K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Indiana 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 140K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
South Carolina's 6th District margin of victory
Clyburn, 19+ pts: 86%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Minnesota Senate margin of victory
Tafoya, 1+ pts: 13%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Illinois 16 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Pennsylvania's 11th District margin of victory
Smucker, 7+ pts: 88%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Pennsylvania's 10th District margin of victory
Perry, 2+ pts: 18%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will Alberta call a snap election?
Before Jul 1, 2027: 35%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Illinois 15 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027