Politics Prediction Markets
Live Kalshi event contracts on elections, Congress, policy and world leaders. Prices show the crowd's odds, not certainties.
Data from Kalshi, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Oregon's 3rd District margin of victory
Dexter, 41+ pts: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Oregon's 2nd District margin of victory
Bentz, 14+ pts: 89%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Oregon's 1st District margin of victory
Bonamici, 36+ pts: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Ohio's 9th District margin of victory
Merrin, 1+ pts: 23%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Illinois 13 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will the 11th Circuit rule non-intervened False Claims Act qui tam suits unconstitutional?
No: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Wisconsin 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Washington 10 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 190K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Illinois 12 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 210K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Illinois 11 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 190K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Illinois 09 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Illinois 05 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New York's 22nd District margin of victory
Mannion, 5+ pts: 84%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Minnesota's 3rd District margin of victory
Morrison, 16+ pts: 91%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Minnesota's 2nd District margin of victory
Little, 1+ pts: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Idaho 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 260K: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Hawaii 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 150K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Oklahoma Senate margin of victory
Hern, 19+ pts: 86%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New York's 20th District margin of victory
Tonko, 17+ pts: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New York's 19th District margin of victory
No: 89%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New York's 18th District margin of victory
Ryan, 7+ pts: 88%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Georgia 07 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 240K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Ohio's 6th District margin of victory
Rulli, 10+ pts: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Ohio's 5th District margin of victory
Latta, 3+ pts: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Ohio's 3rd District margin of victory
Beatty, 34+ pts: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will Trump impose term limits on Congress?
No: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 20, 2029
Will the size of the Supreme Court be changed during Trump's Presidency?
No: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 20, 2029
Florida 18 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 210K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Florida 17 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 290K: 91%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Florida 16 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 290K: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Los Angeles mayoral election: voter turnout
Above 1.0M: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Florida 14 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Florida 12 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Connecticut 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 180K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Nevada's 3rd District margin of victory
Lee, 1+ pts: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Nevada's 2nd District margin of victory
Thompson, 2+ pts: 23%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Washington 06 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 250K: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Washington 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 220K: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Florida 07 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 270K: 89%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Florida 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 270K: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New York's 26th District margin of victory
Kennedy, 20+ pts: 91%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New York's 25th District margin of victory
Morelle, 19+ pts: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 52 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 131K: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 51 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 170K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 49 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 170K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New York's 12th District margin of victory
Lasher, 54+ pts: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027