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Pennsylvania's 11th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Smucker, 25+ pts

    • Yes16%
    • No84%

    Volume $649.3 · Liquidity $249.3

  • Smucker, 31+ pts

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $3 · Liquidity $1

  • Smucker, 7+ pts

    • Yes88%
    • No12%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Smucker, 10+ pts

    • Yes78%
    • No22%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Smucker, 13+ pts

    • Yes65%
    • No35%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Smucker, 16+ pts

    • Yes51%
    • No49%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Smucker, 19+ pts

    • Yes35%
    • No65%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Smucker, 22+ pts

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Smucker, 28+ pts

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Pennsylvania's 11th District by 7 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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