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Missouri's 5th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Republicans, 6+ pts

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $3.1K · Liquidity $800

  • Republicans, 3+ pts

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $2.7K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Republicans, 9+ pts

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $2.4K · Liquidity $998.1

  • Republicans, 12+ pts

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $633.2 · Liquidity $542

  • Republicans, 15+ pts

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $271 · Liquidity $190

  • Republicans, 18+ pts

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $56 · Liquidity $55

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Missouri's 5th District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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