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Nevada's 3rd District margin of victory

Markets

  • Lee, 3+ pts

    • Yes79%
    • No21%

    Volume $782 · Liquidity $94

  • Lee, 12+ pts

    • Yes55%
    • No45%

    Volume $550.9 · Liquidity $550.9

  • Lee, 9+ pts

    • Yes64%
    • No36%

    Volume $280.1 · Liquidity $200

  • Lee, 6+ pts

    • Yes82%
    • No18%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • Lee, 21+ pts

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $85 · Liquidity $84

  • Lee, 1+ pts

    • Yes93%
    • No7%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Lee, 15+ pts

    • Yes44%
    • No56%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Lee, 18+ pts

    • Yes28%
    • No72%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Lee, 24+ pts

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Nevada's 3rd District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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