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New York's 18th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Ryan, 13+ pts

    • Yes72%
    • No28%

    Volume $201 · Liquidity $201

  • Ryan, 25+ pts

    • Yes17%
    • No83%

    Volume $95 · Liquidity $95

  • Ryan, 16+ pts

    • Yes58%
    • No42%

    Volume $2 · Liquidity $1

  • Ryan, 31+ pts

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $2 · Liquidity $1

  • Ryan, 22+ pts

    • Yes30%
    • No70%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

  • Ryan, 10+ pts

    • Yes78%
    • No22%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Ryan, 19+ pts

    • Yes41%
    • No59%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Ryan, 28+ pts

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Ryan, 7+ pts

    • Yes88%
    • No12%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 18th District by 7 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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