Nevada's 2nd District margin of victory
Markets
Thompson, 2+ pts
- Yes23%
- No77%
Volume $118 · Liquidity $116.9
Thompson, 5+ pts
- Yes12%
- No88%
Volume $2.9 · Liquidity $1.9
Resolution rules
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Nevada's 2nd District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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