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Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

Markets

  • OpenAI

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $161.4K · Liquidity $49.1K

  • xAI

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $105.3K · Liquidity $39.9K

  • Meta

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $46.8K · Liquidity $19.5K

  • Nvidia

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $35.6K · Liquidity $17K

  • Deepseek

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $23.8K · Liquidity $11K

  • Alibaba

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $19.3K · Liquidity $7.2K

  • Baidu

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $12.6K · Liquidity $5.1K

  • Z.ai

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $7.9K · Liquidity $2.4K

  • Moonshot AI

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $6.2K · Liquidity $3.2K

  • ByteDance

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $5.7K · Liquidity $3K

  • Mistral

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $4.7K · Liquidity $2.6K

  • 01A1

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $1K · Liquidity $515

  • Zhipu AI

    Closed
    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If Meta has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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