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How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?

Markets

  • 5

    • Yes43%
    • No57%

    Volume $18.3K · Liquidity $9.6K

  • 6

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $14.8K · Liquidity $4K

  • 4

    • Yes46%
    • No54%

    Volume $12.2K · Liquidity $6.5K

  • 7

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $7.5K · Liquidity $3.1K

  • 3

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $5.7K · Liquidity $3.7K

  • 1 or below

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $3.7K · Liquidity $1.3K

  • 2

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $3.2K · Liquidity $1.6K

  • 8

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $2K · Liquidity $1.7K

  • 10 or above

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $1.2K

  • 9

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $957.1

Resolution rules

If below 2 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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