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What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?

Markets

  • Earbuds/Headphones

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $67.3K · Liquidity $15K

  • Clip-on device for clothing

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $31.1K · Liquidity $9.8K

  • Glasses

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $18.3K · Liquidity $6.5K

  • Phone

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $15.8K · Liquidity $6.5K

  • Necklace

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $6.8K · Liquidity $3.3K

  • Watch

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $4.8K · Liquidity $2.1K

  • Ring

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $4.8K · Liquidity $2.2K

  • Computer

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $3.5K · Liquidity $2.2K

  • Head-mounted display

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $3.4K · Liquidity $1.4K

  • Tablet

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $2.6K · Liquidity $1.4K

Resolution rules

If OpenAI announces its first hardware device as part of their collaboration/acquisition of Jony Ive's io that is Phone before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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