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How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?

Markets

  • Above 4

    • Yes45%
    • No55%

    Volume $7.2K · Liquidity $2.2K

  • Above 5

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $5K · Liquidity $1.7K

  • Above 3

    • Yes91%
    • No9%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $915.4

  • Above 6

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $850 · Liquidity $469.1

  • Above 7

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $399 · Liquidity $337

  • Above 8

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $232 · Liquidity $115

  • Above 11

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $142 · Liquidity $131

  • Above 12

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $63 · Liquidity $21

  • Above 10

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $60 · Liquidity $22

  • Above 9

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $35 · Liquidity $34

Resolution rules

If above 3 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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