Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
Markets
Hodge Conjecture
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $963.5
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture
- Yes28%
- No72%
Volume $625.1 · Liquidity $221.1
Yang–Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem
- Yes20%
- No80%
Volume $200 · Liquidity $200
Riemann Hypothesis
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $57.7 · Liquidity $57.7
P versus NP Problem
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
If Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture is the first Millennium Prize Problem solved after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Tech & Science markets
When will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved?
Before 2040: 38%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 7, 2040
When will P vs NP be resolved?
Before 2030: 57%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 7, 2040
When will the Riemann Hypothesis be resolved?
Before 2040: 76%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 7, 2040
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
No: 75%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2050
Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
No: 70%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2050
When will nuclear fusion be achieved?
Before 2040: 52%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2040
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
Yes: 54%
24h vol $3 · Ends Jan 1, 2035
Will the FDA approve VERVE-102?
Before 2035: 87%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2035
When will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved?
Before 2032: 75%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 7, 2032
When will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved?
Before 2030: 74%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 7, 2032
When will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved?
Before 2032: 49%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 7, 2032
Will the FDA approve MDMA for PTSD?
Before Jan 1, 2031: 51%
24h vol $15 · Ends Jan 1, 2032

