Will the average minimum temperature in Texas (DFW & IAH) fall below 20°F for at least 2 days within a 4-day span?
Markets
Before 2027
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volume $273.4 · Liquidity $136
Before 2028
- Yes37%
- No63%
Volume $95 · Liquidity $51
Before 2029
- Yes68%
- No32%
Volume $36.9 · Liquidity $1
Resolution rules
If any span of 4 consecutive calendar days after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 contains at least 2 days where the Station Average at Dallas Fort Worth International Airport (DFW) and George Bush Intercontinental Airport, Houston (IAH) is below 20°F, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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