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Fed funds rate at end of 2035

Markets

  • Above 5.75%

    • Yes52%
    • No48%

    Volume $610 · Liquidity $337

  • Above 1.75%

    • Yes61%
    • No39%

    Volume $324 · Liquidity $199

  • Above 4.50%

    • Yes38%
    • No62%

    Volume $223 · Liquidity $123

  • Above 1.50%

    • Yes53%
    • No47%

    Volume $209 · Liquidity $126

  • Above 2.25%

    • Yes83%
    • No17%

    Volume $167 · Liquidity $69

  • Above 2.00%

    • Yes63%
    • No37%

    Volume $160 · Liquidity $73

  • Above 6.00%

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $121 · Liquidity $9

  • Above 2.75%

    • Yes60%
    • No40%

    Volume $116 · Liquidity $64

  • Above 2.50%

    • Yes58%
    • No42%

    Volume $105.3 · Liquidity $23

  • Above 4.25%

    • Yes40%
    • No60%

    Volume $105 · Liquidity $92

  • Above 4.75%

    • Yes32%
    • No68%

    Volume $104 · Liquidity $74

  • Above 3.00%

    • Yes59%
    • No41%

    Volume $82 · Liquidity $82

  • Above 1.00%

    • Yes88%
    • No12%

    Volume $56 · Liquidity $4

  • Above 5.00%

    • Yes34%
    • No66%

    Volume $50 · Liquidity $11

  • Above 5.25%

    • Yes25%
    • No75%

    Volume $30 · Liquidity $2

  • Above 1.25%

    • Yes62%
    • No38%

    Volume $22 · Liquidity $16

  • Above 4.00%

    • Yes27%
    • No73%

    Volume $4 · Liquidity $4

  • Above 5.50%

    • Yes30%
    • No70%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 3.25%

    • Yes36%
    • No64%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 3.50%

    • Yes34%
    • No66%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 3.75%

    • Yes34%
    • No66%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 1.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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