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Fed funds rate at end of 2033

Markets

  • Above 1.25%

    • Yes71%
    • No29%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $616

  • Above 1.00%

    • Yes76%
    • No24%

    Volume $790 · Liquidity $637

  • Above 5.75%

    • Yes25%
    • No75%

    Volume $315.1 · Liquidity $158

  • Above 4.25%

    • Yes37%
    • No63%

    Volume $286 · Liquidity $143

  • Above 5.00%

    • Yes25%
    • No75%

    Volume $248 · Liquidity $81

  • Above 1.75%

    • Yes84%
    • No16%

    Volume $195.6 · Liquidity $113.2

  • Above 2.00%

    • Yes71%
    • No29%

    Volume $192 · Liquidity $68

  • Above 1.50%

    • Yes72%
    • No28%

    Volume $173.6 · Liquidity $74

  • Above 5.25%

    • Yes29%
    • No71%

    Volume $168 · Liquidity $91

  • Above 3.50%

    • Yes53%
    • No47%

    Volume $163 · Liquidity $65

  • Above 2.25%

    • Yes69%
    • No31%

    Volume $140.6 · Liquidity $116.2

  • Above 3.00%

    • Yes53%
    • No47%

    Volume $135.6 · Liquidity $65

  • Above 2.50%

    • Yes68%
    • No32%

    Volume $126.4 · Liquidity $102

  • Above 4.50%

    • Yes35%
    • No65%

    Volume $85 · Liquidity $77

  • Above 5.50%

    • Yes26%
    • No74%

    Volume $68.4 · Liquidity $51.2

  • Above 6.00%

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $66.1 · Liquidity $38.1

  • Above 3.75%

    • Yes33%
    • No67%

    Volume $65 · Liquidity $65

  • Above 3.25%

    • Yes53%
    • No47%

    Volume $63 · Liquidity $32

  • Above 4.00%

    • Yes38%
    • No62%

    Volume $38 · Liquidity $13

  • Above 4.75%

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $9.4 · Liquidity $9

  • Above 2.75%

    • Yes49%
    • No51%

    Volume $1.6 · Liquidity $1

Resolution rules

If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 1.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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