Economy Prediction Markets
Live Kalshi markets on inflation, interest rates, jobs data, stocks and companies.
Data from Kalshi, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Coinbase monthly transacting users in fiscal 2026
Above 6.5 million: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 12, 2027
Shopify gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026
Above $480 billion: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 11, 2027
Chipotle headcount in fiscal 2026
Above 100 thousand: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 11, 2027
Fed decision in Jun 2027?
Fed maintains rate: 62%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 9, 2027
Fed funds rate after Jun 2027 meeting?
Above 0.50%: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 9, 2027
US defaults before 2030?
No: 88%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Monday net dollar retention rate for the >$100k arr cohort in fiscal 2026
Above 111%: 87%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 9, 2027
Will Netflix Studios Fort Monmouth Phase 1B be completed before winter 2028?
Yes: 56%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 21, 2028
KFC same-store sales growth in fiscal 2026
Above -1%: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 5, 2027
Snap average daily active users in fiscal 2026
Above 488 million: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 5, 2027
U.S. nonfarm productivity YoY above 3% in any 2026 quarter?
No: 54%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 4, 2027
Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount in 2027
Above $750: 87%
24h vol $0 · Ends Sep 20, 2027
How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?
At least $1 billion: 8%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 31, 2029
US trade deficit for 2028
Above $600 billion: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 5, 2029
When will Stripe officially announce an IPO?
Before Jan 1, 2027: 11%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 1, 2027
When will Rippling officially announce an IPO?
Before Feb 1, 2027: 28%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 1, 2027
When will Ramp officially announce an IPO?
Before Jun 1, 2027: 24%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 1, 2027
When will Olipop officially announce an IPO?
Before Jun 1, 2027: 12%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 1, 2027
When will Glean officially announce an IPO?
Before Apr 1, 2027: 31%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 1, 2027
When will Discord officially announce an IPO?
Before Jun 1, 2027: 53%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 1, 2027
When will Deel officially announce an IPO?
Before Mar 1, 2027: 53%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 1, 2027
When will Cluely officially announce an IPO?
Before Apr 1, 2027: 7%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 1, 2027
When will AppsFlyer officially announce an IPO?
Before May 1, 2027: 16%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 1, 2027
When will Anduril officially announce an IPO?
Before Jun 1, 2027: 21%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 1, 2027
DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 · Average price in May 2027
Above $53.75: 98%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 1, 2027
DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) eTT · Average price in May 2027
Above $22.60: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 1, 2027
US defaults before 2029?
No: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
When will Bloomberg officially announce an IPO?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 51%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
SoFi members in fiscal 2026
Above 17.8 million: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 29, 2027
Median Big Law starting salary in 2027
Above $230,000: 98%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 21, 2027
Meta advertisement impressions growth in fiscal 2026
Above 8%: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 28, 2027
Starbucks comparable transactions growth in Q1 2027
Above 2%: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 27, 2027
Starbucks total global stores in Q1 2027
Above 41400: 89%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 27, 2027
McDonald's total restaurants in fiscal 2026
Above 46800: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 27, 2027
Lockheed Martin headcount in fiscal 2026
Above 119 thousand: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 27, 2027
US real GDP growth in 2031?
1.6% to 2.0%: 12%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 29, 2032
Klaviyo customers over $50k ARR in Q3
Above 4675: 84%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 4, 2027
Chime active members in Q3
Above 10.6 million: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 4, 2027
Coeur Mining gold production in Q3
Above 180000: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 4, 2027
Instacart gross transaction value in Q3
Above $10.3 billion: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 4, 2027
Will Orlando hotel room demand increase YoY in 2026?
Yes: 66%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 10, 2027
Tesla total production in 2026
Above 1.55 million: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 31, 2028
Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
Above 1,600 units: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 3, 2027
Will Connecticut insurance-industry employment increase YoY in 2026?
No: 88%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 30, 2027
Will Ohio manufacturing employment rise YoY?
Yes: 79%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 30, 2027
Will New York securities-industry employment rise YoY?
Yes: 87%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 30, 2027
Will New Jersey pharmaceutical manufacturing jobs rise YoY?
No: 91%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 30, 2027
Will Minnesota medical-device manufacturing jobs rise YoY?
Yes: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 30, 2027