Economy Prediction Markets
Live Kalshi markets on inflation, interest rates, jobs data, stocks and companies.
Data from Kalshi, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Will Michigan auto manufacturing jobs rise YoY?
No: 77%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 30, 2027
Will Louisiana oil & gas extraction jobs rise YoY?
No: 88%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 30, 2027
Tesla energy deployment in Q4
Above 8 GWh: 98%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 2, 2027
Reddit daily active uniques in 2026
Above 136 million: 89%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 31, 2028
When will Skims officially announce an IPO?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 44%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Constellation Brands Beer Shipments in fiscal 2027
Above 410 million: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Oct 29, 2028
Charles Schwab active brokerage accounts in Q1 2027
Above 40.7 million: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 28, 2027
US unemployment rate at year-end 2027
Above 3.0%: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 7, 2028
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2027
Above 56.50%: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 7, 2028
What sector will OpenAI be assigned to?
Information Technology: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 11, 2028
What sector will Anthropic be assigned to?
Information Technology: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 11, 2028
NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in April 2027
Above $0.25: 91%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 1, 2027
NVIDIA H200 · Average hourly price in April 2027
Above $2.00: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 1, 2027
NVIDIA H100 · Average hourly price in April 2027
Above $2.25: 74%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 1, 2027
DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 · Average price in April 2027
Above $51.75: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 1, 2027
DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) eTT · Average price in April 2027
Above $22.60: 58%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 1, 2027
NVIDIA B200 · Average hourly price in April 2027
Above $3.50: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 1, 2027
NVIDIA A100 · Average hourly price in April 2027
Above $0.50: 84%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 1, 2027
US real GDP growth in Q1 2027?
Above 0.0%: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 29, 2027
Fed decision in Apr 2027?
Fed maintains rate: 61%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 28, 2027
Global remittance cost at the end of 2027
Above 5.25%: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Japan’s government budget balance in 2026
Above -3.5% of GDP: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 20, 2027
Italy’s government budget balance in 2026
Above -4.0% of GDP: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 20, 2027
France’s government budget balance in 2026
Above -6.5% of GDP: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 20, 2027
How high will the 30-year mortgage rate get in 2027?
Above 7.25%: 83%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 30, 2027
China’s government budget balance in 2026
Above -9.5% of GDP: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 20, 2027
Will NextEra Energy successfully take over Dominion Energy?
Yes: 79%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Commercial property prices down >20% YoY as of Oct 2027?
No: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 1, 2027
Costco total cardholders in Q1
Above 150.6 million: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 9, 2027
US trade deficit for 2027
Above $500 billion: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 4, 2028
Toll Brothers delivered homes in fiscal 2026
Above 9600: 98%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 9, 2027
Will Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
No: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 31, 2027
Will Wyoming's unemployment rate remain below 3.5% in 2026?
Yes: 76%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 31, 2027
New River Gorge recreation visits in 2026
Above 1.7 million: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 31, 2027
Will Oregon semiconductor manufacturing jobs rise YoY?
No: 84%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 31, 2027
Rivian total vehicles delivered in 2026
Above 40000: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 31, 2028
Will Minnesota taconite production rise YoY?
No: 59%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 31, 2027
Ulta comparable sales in Q3
Above 2%: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 3, 2027
ServiceTitan gross transaction volume in Q3
Above $24.4 billion: 75%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 2, 2027
Kroger sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3
Above -2%: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 2, 2027
Fed funds rate at end of 2028
Above 1.00%: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
McDonald's Corporation total systemwide restaurants in Q3 2026
Above 46300: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 4, 2027
Will Rippling win its lawsuit against Deel?
Yes: 57%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
When will Freddie Mac officially announce an IPO?
Before Feb 1, 2027: 8%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 1, 2027
2027 Honda Accord starting MSRP
Above $28,000: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 1, 2027
2027 Toyota 4Runner starting MSRP
Above $42,500: 70%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 1, 2027
NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in March 2027
Above $0.50: 69%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 1, 2027
NVIDIA H200 · Average hourly price in March 2027
Above $1.50: 88%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 1, 2027