Economy Prediction Markets
Live Kalshi markets on inflation, interest rates, jobs data, stocks and companies.
Data from Kalshi, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Will Missouri manufacturing employment rise YoY?
No: 68%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 30, 2027
NVIDIA B200 · Average hourly price in May 2027
Above $6.50: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 1, 2027
Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
Above -5.0% of GDP: 98%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 20, 2027
NVIDIA A100 · Average hourly price in May 2027
Above $0.50: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 1, 2027
US real GDP growth in 2028?
2.1% to 2.5%: 13%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 28, 2029
Will O’Hare set a new passenger record in 2026?
Yes: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 30, 2027
When will Whoop officially announce an IPO?
Before Oct 1, 2027: 25%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Vail Resorts skier visits in Q1
Above 400,000: 80%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 8, 2027
Chewy active customers in Q3
Above 21.7 million: 98%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 8, 2027
US solar capacity installed in 2026
At least 35 GWdc: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 31, 2027
Zoom customers over $100k in TTM revenue in Q3
Above 4675: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 23, 2027
Fed decision in Mar 2027?
Hike 25bps: 53%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 17, 2027
Home Depot customer transactions in Q3
Above 380 million: 86%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 17, 2027
Palantir total customers in Q3
Above 1060: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 3, 2027
US personal saving rate below 2% in 2026?
No: 82%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 29, 2027
US personal saving rate at year-end 2026
4.0% or Above: 39%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 29, 2027
US nominal GDP growth in 2026
Above 0.0%: 98%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 28, 2027
Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026
Above 9.4 million: 98%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 31, 2027
US real GDP growth in 2033?
1.6% to 2.0%: 23%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 28, 2034
MercadoLibre fintech monthly active users in fiscal 2026
Above 96 million: 91%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 24, 2027
US headline CPI inflation in December 2033
Above 0.5%: 87%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 1, 2034
US real GDP growth in 2036?
1.6% to 2.0%: 31%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 31, 2037
US unemployment rate at year-end 2036
Above 3.0%: 86%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 9, 2037
US nominal GDP growth in 2035
Above 0.5%: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 28, 2036
Who will be the next CEO of Goldman Sachs?
John Waldron: 74%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 31, 2035
Coeur Mining gold production in fiscal 2026
Above 650000: 83%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 20, 2027
US unemployment rate at year-end 2034
Above 3.0%: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 5, 2035
Global account ownership in the next Global Findex release
Above 80%: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 31, 2031
Etsy marketplace gross merchandise sales in fiscal 2026
Above $10.7 billion: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 18, 2027
Instacart gross transaction value in fiscal 2026
Above $41 billion: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 18, 2027
US headline CPI inflation in December 2030
Above 3.5%: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 1, 2031
US nominal GDP growth in 2030
Above 0.0%: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 28, 2031
US unemployment rate at year-end 2030
Above 3.0%: 91%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 10, 2031
eToro funded accounts in fiscal 2026
Above 4.4 million: 85%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 17, 2027
The Cheesecake Factory comparable restaurant sales in fiscal 2026
Above 3%: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 17, 2027
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2030
Above 57.00%: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 10, 2031
DraftKings average monthly unique payers in fiscal 2026
Above 3.8 million: 89%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 14, 2027
DraftKings sportsbook margin in fiscal 2026
Above 6.5%: 83%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 14, 2027
Fed funds rate at end of 2029
Above 1.00%: 88%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Fed decision in Jan 2028?
Fed maintains rate: 62%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 26, 2028
What sector will OpenAI be assigned to?
Information Technology: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 11, 2028
What sector will Anthropic be assigned to?
Information Technology: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 11, 2028
Uber trips in fiscal 2026
Above 15.4 billion: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 12, 2027
Roblox hours engaged in fiscal 2026
Above 120 billion: 73%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 12, 2027
Roblox daily active users in fiscal 2026
Above 130 million: 85%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 12, 2027
Marriott International total rooms in fiscal 2026
Above 1.845 million: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 12, 2027
Lyft total rides in fiscal 2026
Above 1.01 billion: 85%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 12, 2027
Robinhood gold subscribers in fiscal 2026
Above 4 million: 98%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 12, 2027