Economy Prediction Markets
Live Kalshi markets on inflation, interest rates, jobs data, stocks and companies.
Data from Kalshi, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
South Carolina ports total container volume in 2026
Above 2.2 million TEUs: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 31, 2027
Fed funds rate at end of 2035
Above 1.00%: 88%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2036
US nominal GDP growth in 2030
Above 0.0%: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 28, 2031
Will Trump bring back manufacturing?
No: 75%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 30, 2029
Average US used car transaction price at end of 2026
Above $24,000: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 1, 2027
US unemployment rate at year-end 2032
Above 3.0%: 91%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 7, 2033
US manufacturing construction spending in December 2026
Above $130 billion: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 1, 2027
US nominal GDP growth in 2029
Above 2.0%: 80%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 28, 2030
US nominal GDP growth in 2032
Above 0.0%: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 28, 2033
Reddit daily active uniques in 2026
Above 136 million: 89%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 31, 2028
US imports of goods from China in 2026
Below $300 billion: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 4, 2027
US trade deficit for 2032
Above $600 billion: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 7, 2033
Venture Global LNG volumes in Q3
Above 440 tbtu: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 12, 2027
US nominal GDP growth in 2034
Above 0.5%: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 28, 2035
Robinhood event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026
Above $50 billion: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 12, 2027
DraftKings average monthly unique payers in fiscal 2026
Above 3.8 million: 89%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 14, 2027
Boeing commercial deliveries in Q1 2027
Above 100: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 28, 2027
Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026?
United Kingdom: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 18, 2027
How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?
At least $1 billion: 8%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 31, 2029
Who will be the next CEO of Goldman Sachs?
John Waldron: 74%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 31, 2035
Intel headcount in Q3
Above 79 thousand: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 19, 2027
Will Trump reduce inequality in the US?
No: 77%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 31, 2031
US nominal GDP growth in 2035
Above 0.5%: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 28, 2036
Will California home prices increase YoY in Q4 2026?
No: 66%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 23, 2027
Will the IRS collect more in taxes this year than last year?
Yes: 89%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 31, 2027
Tesla total production in 2026
Above 1.5 million: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 31, 2028
Robinhood gold subscribers in fiscal 2026
Above 4 million: 98%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 12, 2027
Fed funds rate at end of 2034
Above 1.25%: 88%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2035
Wingstop US same store sales growth in fiscal 2026
Above -6%: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 2, 2027
US real GDP growth in 2036?
1.6% to 2.0%: 31%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 31, 2037
Target comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026
Above 3%: 98%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 2, 2027
ServiceTitan gross transaction volume in fiscal 2027
Above $94 billion: 88%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 2, 2027
Victoria's Secret comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026
Above 4%: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 2, 2027
US real GDP growth in 2031?
1.6% to 2.0%: 12%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 29, 2032
BrightSpring Health home health average daily census in fiscal 2026
Above 46200: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 3, 2027
BrightSpring Health prescriptions filled in fiscal 2026
Above 42.9 million: 88%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 3, 2027
Etsy Gross Merchandise Sales in Q3
Above $2.5 billion: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 25, 2027
CAVA same restaurant sales growth in fiscal 2026
Above 4.5%: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 3, 2027
Will New Hampshire alpine skier visits rise YoY?
No: 83%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 30, 2027
Marriott International total rooms in Q3
Above 1.82 million: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 25, 2027
Nevada visitor volume in 2026
Above 47 million: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 30, 2027
Kroger sales growth (excl. fuel) in fiscal 2026
Above 0%: 75%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 2, 2027
Rhode Island commercial quahog landings in 2026
Above 190,000 meat pounds: 86%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 30, 2027
UiPath customers with arr of at least $1m in fiscal 2027
Above 400: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 8, 2027
Brazil GDP growth in Q4 2026 (YoY)
Above 0.5%: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 2, 2027
Will Colorado home prices increase YoY in Q4 2026?
No: 72%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 23, 2027
MercadoLibre fintech monthly active users in Q3
Above 91 million: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 25, 2027
Lockheed Martin headcount in fiscal 2026
Above 119 thousand: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 27, 2027