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When will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority?

Markets

  • Before Nov 11

    • Yes92%
    • No8%

    Volume $5K · Liquidity $4.3K

  • Before 4AM Nov 4

    • Yes79%
    • No21%

    Volume $4.5K · Liquidity $3.3K

  • Before Nov 6

    • Yes89%
    • No11%

    Volume $3.5K · Liquidity $2.6K

  • Before Nov 4

    • Yes32%
    • No68%

    Volume $2.5K · Liquidity $2.1K

  • Before 11PM Nov 3

    • Yes16%
    • No84%

    Volume $2.5K · Liquidity $2.1K

  • Before 1AM Nov 4

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $2.5K · Liquidity $1.9K

  • Before Nov 14

    • Yes94%
    • No6%

    Volume $202 · Liquidity $202

  • Before Jan 1

    • Yes81%
    • No20%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. House majority before 11PM ET on Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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