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Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?

Markets

  • Colorado

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $18.1K · Liquidity $10.3K

  • Delaware

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $16.8K · Liquidity $10.3K

  • Alaska

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $14.7K · Liquidity $10.3K

  • New Mexico

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $12K · Liquidity $10.3K

  • Oregon

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $12K · Liquidity $10.3K

  • Virginia

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $11.5K · Liquidity $10.3K

  • New Jersey

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $11.5K · Liquidity $10.3K

  • Texas

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $11.5K · Liquidity $10.3K

  • Massachusetts

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $11.3K · Liquidity $10.3K

  • Illinois

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $11.3K · Liquidity $10.3K

  • Florida

    • Yes33%
    • No67%

    Volume $10.4K · Liquidity $3.5K

  • Georgia

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $9.6K · Liquidity $9.5K

  • Rhode Island

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $6.7K · Liquidity $6.6K

  • North Carolina

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $6.4K · Liquidity $3.7K

  • Iowa

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $4.6K · Liquidity $2.9K

  • Maine

    • Yes36%
    • No64%

    Volume $2.8K · Liquidity $1.6K

  • Minnesota

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $2.5K · Liquidity $1.4K

  • Ohio

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $2K · Liquidity $1.6K

  • Michigan

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • New Hampshire

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $813 · Liquidity $693

Resolution rules

If Massachusetts is the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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