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Midterms: Democratic share of men's vote?

Markets

  • Above 50%

    • Yes21%
    • No79%

    Volume $22.5 · Liquidity $22.5

  • Above 40%

    • Yes93%
    • No7%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 42%

    • Yes87%
    • No13%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 44%

    • Yes80%
    • No20%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 46%

    • Yes59%
    • No41%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 48%

    • Yes38%
    • No62%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 52%

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic share of the vote among men in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 40%, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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