Skip to content
TheKalshiAcademy
EN

How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms?

Markets

  • Above 15

    Closed
    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $8.6K · Liquidity $4.9K

  • Above 40

    • Yes96%
    • No4%

    Volume $6.5K · Liquidity $3.5K

  • Above 20

    Closed
    • Yes98%
    • No2%

    Volume $4.1K · Liquidity $1.9K

  • Above 35

    • Yes94%
    • No6%

    Volume $2.6K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Above 25

    Closed
    • Yes98%
    • No2%

    Volume $2.4K · Liquidity $747.2

  • Above 55

    • Yes17%
    • No83%

    Volume $2K · Liquidity $1.9K

  • Above 45

    • Yes78%
    • No22%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $1.3K

  • Above 30

    Closed
    • Yes91%
    • No9%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $585

  • Above 60

    • Yes25%
    • No75%

    Volume $626 · Liquidity $247

  • Above 50

    • Yes26%
    • No74%

    Volume $467.8 · Liquidity $48

  • Above 65

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $24 · Liquidity $24

Resolution rules

If the number of Trump rallies is above 15 from January 1 to November 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

More Politics markets