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Midterms: Democratic share of white non-college vote?

Markets

  • Above 42%

    • Yes18%
    • No82%

    Volume $7.3 · Liquidity $7.3

  • Above 30%

    • Yes90%
    • No10%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 32%

    • Yes77%
    • No23%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 34%

    • Yes64%
    • No36%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 36%

    • Yes51%
    • No49%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 38%

    • Yes39%
    • No61%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 40%

    • Yes26%
    • No74%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic share of the vote among white voters without a college degree in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 30%, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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