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Midterms: which party wins independents?

Markets

  • Republican party

    • Yes17%
    • No83%

    Volume $5.9K · Liquidity $2.8K

  • Democratic party

    • Yes80%
    • No20%

    Volume $425.9 · Liquidity $411.6

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins independents in the 2026 United States midterm elections, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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