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Midterms: which issue matters most to voters?

Markets

  • Iran war and foreign policy

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $13.1K · Liquidity $6.1K

  • Economy and cost of living

    • Yes93%
    • No7%

    Volume $8K · Liquidity $7.9K

  • Democracy

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $7.3K · Liquidity $4.2K

  • Abortion

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $5.7K · Liquidity $3.9K

  • Crime

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $5.7K · Liquidity $3.9K

  • Immigration

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $4.5K · Liquidity $3.8K

  • Health care

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $4.2K · Liquidity $3.8K

Resolution rules

If the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll maps to Economy and cost of living, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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