Skip to content

Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader?

Markets

  • Before Jan 1, 2027

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $14.2K · Liquidity $7.3K

  • Before Sep 1, 2026

    Closed
    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $7K · Liquidity $3.8K

Resolution rules

If Nigel Farage leaves as Leader of Reform UK before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses