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Florida Governor: margin of victory

Markets

  • David Jolly, ≥4%

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $123 · Liquidity $49

  • Byron Donalds, 4-6%

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $116.4 · Liquidity $116.4

  • Byron Donalds, 0-2%

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $98 · Liquidity $49

  • Byron Donalds, 2-4%

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $98 · Liquidity $49

  • Byron Donalds, 6-8%

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $98 · Liquidity $49

  • Byron Donalds, 8-10%

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $98 · Liquidity $49

  • Byron Donalds, 10-12%

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $98 · Liquidity $49

  • Byron Donalds, 12-14%

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $98 · Liquidity $49

  • Byron Donalds, 14-16%

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $98 · Liquidity $49

  • Byron Donalds, ≥16%

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $98 · Liquidity $49

  • David Jolly, 0-2%

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $98 · Liquidity $49

  • David Jolly, 2-4%

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $49 · Liquidity $49

Resolution rules

If the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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