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Michigan Senate: margin of victory

Markets

  • Abdul El-Sayed, 0-2%

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Abdul El-Sayed, 2-4%

    • Yes16%
    • No85%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Abdul El-Sayed, 4-6%

    • Yes14%
    • No87%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Abdul El-Sayed, 6-8%

    • Yes12%
    • No89%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Abdul El-Sayed, 8-10%

    • Yes9%
    • No92%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Mike Rogers, 4-6%

    • Yes7%
    • No94%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Mike Rogers, ≥6%

    • Yes8%
    • No93%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Mike Rogers, 0-2%

    • Yes13%
    • No88%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Mike Rogers, 2-4%

    • Yes11%
    • No90%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Abdul El-Sayed, ≥10%

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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