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Midterms: Republican share of Black vote?

Markets

  • Above 14%

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $3.4K · Liquidity $2.2K

  • Above 8%

    • Yes77%
    • No23%

    Volume $2.6K · Liquidity $1.7K

  • Above 10%

    • Yes40%
    • No60%

    Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $867.5

  • Above 18%

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $1.9K

  • Above 12%

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $795

  • Above 16%

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $800

  • Above 9%

    • Yes52%
    • No48%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

  • Above 6%

    • Yes93%
    • No7%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican share of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 6%, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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