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Midterms: Republican share of voters 18-29?

Markets

  • Above 40%

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $205 · Liquidity $205

  • Above 26%

    • Yes91%
    • No9%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 28%

    • Yes84%
    • No16%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 30%

    • Yes68%
    • No32%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 32%

    • Yes51%
    • No49%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 34%

    • Yes35%
    • No65%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 36%

    • Yes29%
    • No71%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 38%

    • Yes23%
    • No77%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 42%

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 44%

    • Yes7%
    • No94%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican share of the vote among voters aged 18-29 in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 26%, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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