How many Harris-won districts will Republicans win in 2026?
Markets
At least 1
- Yes80%
- No20%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
At least 2
- Yes54%
- No46%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
At least 3
- Yes34%
- No66%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
At least 4
- Yes21%
- No79%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
At least 6
- Yes8%
- No92%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
At least 8
- Yes5%
- No96%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
If the number of Republican U.S. House members elected from the 201 districts that Kamala Harris carried in 2024 is at least 1 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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