Skip to content
TheKalshiAcademy
EN

Reddest House district to elect a Democrat in 2026?

Markets

  • Trump +30 or more

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $10.7K · Liquidity $6.2K

  • Trump +10 or more

    • Yes97%
    • No3%

    Volume $8.3K · Liquidity $2.4K

  • Trump +15 or more

    • Yes91%
    • No9%

    Volume $7.5K · Liquidity $3.6K

  • Trump +18 or more

    • Yes64%
    • No36%

    Volume $4.9K · Liquidity $567.4

  • Trump +22 or more

    • Yes18%
    • No82%

    Volume $4.1K · Liquidity $584

  • Trump +5 or more

    • Yes98%
    • No2%

    Volume $3.1K · Liquidity $1K

  • Trump +20 or more

    • Yes46%
    • No54%

    Volume $2K · Liquidity $1.2K

  • Trump +25 or more

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

Resolution rules

If the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin, in percentage points, among U.S. House districts won by a Democratic candidate is at least 5 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

More Politics markets