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How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026?

Markets

  • At least 13

    • Yes91%
    • No9%

    Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $200

  • At least 46

    • Yes24%
    • No76%

    Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $1.5K

  • At least 19

    • Yes93%
    • No7%

    Volume $812 · Liquidity $410

  • At least 22

    • Yes93%
    • No7%

    Volume $802 · Liquidity $400

  • At least 40

    • Yes35%
    • No65%

    Volume $602 · Liquidity $420

  • At least 16

    • Yes90%
    • No10%

    Volume $400 · Liquidity $400

  • At least 35

    • Yes59%
    • No41%

    Volume $252.2 · Liquidity $250.2

  • At least 31

    • Yes70%
    • No30%

    Volume $245.6 · Liquidity $204.2

  • At least 25

    • Yes87%
    • No13%

    Volume $204.3 · Liquidity $202.3

  • At least 28

    • Yes76%
    • No24%

    Volume $178.2 · Liquidity $128.2

  • At least 10

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $75.9 · Liquidity $74.9

  • At least 52

    • Yes12%
    • No89%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 58

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 10 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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