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How many Senate and Governor races will Republicans win in Harris states?

Markets

  • 2

    • Yes39%
    • No61%

    Volume $13.4K · Liquidity $6.3K

  • 3

    • Yes24%
    • No76%

    Volume $7.9K · Liquidity $1.8K

  • 0

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $6.1K · Liquidity $2K

  • 1

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $2K

  • 4

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $752

  • 5

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $493 · Liquidity $280

  • At least 6

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $277.4 · Liquidity $277.4

Resolution rules

If the number of 2026 U.S. Senate (including special elections) and gubernatorial general elections, held in the 19 states that Kamala Harris carried in the 2024 presidential election, won by a nominee of the Republican Party is exactly 0 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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