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120th Congress: Who will run for House Democratic leader?

Markets

  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $78.2 · Liquidity $78.2

  • Hakeem Jeffries

    • Yes90%
    • No10%

    Volume $34 · Liquidity $34

  • Katherine Clark

    • Yes4%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Pete Aguilar

    • Yes4%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Rashida Tlaib

    • Yes4%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Joe Neguse

    • Yes4%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Pramila Jayapal

    • Yes4%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Ted Lieu

    • Yes4%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If Hakeem Jeffries has announced that they will run for House Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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