How many independents will be elected to Congress in the midterms?
Markets
At least 3
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $831.3
At least 1
- Yes38%
- No62%
Volume $479.7 · Liquidity $365.7
At least 2
- Yes12%
- No88%
Volume $200 · Liquidity $200
At least 4
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
If the number of candidates unaffiliated with a political party elected to U.S. House or Senate seats is at least 1 in the 2026 U.S. congressional elections for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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