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How many House Democrats will lose reelection in 2026?

Markets

  • 10 or more

    • Yes87%
    • No13%

    Volume $72.5 · Liquidity $72.5

  • 13 or more

    • Yes40%
    • No60%

    Volume $30.2 · Liquidity $30.2

  • 15 or more

    • Yes32%
    • No68%

    Volume $20 · Liquidity $20

  • 14 or more

    • Yes43%
    • No57%

    Volume $17 · Liquidity $17

  • 12 or more

    • Yes67%
    • No33%

    Volume $9 · Liquidity $9

  • 16 or more

    • Yes25%
    • No75%

    Volume $6 · Liquidity $6

  • 9 or more

    • Yes96%
    • No5%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • 11 or more

    • Yes76%
    • No24%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • 17 or more

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • 18 or more

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If at least 9 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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