How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026?
Markets
Exactly 0
- Yes91%
- No9%
Volume $50.7K · Liquidity $26.4K
Exactly 1
- Yes9%
- No91%
Volume $29.7K · Liquidity $19.7K
Exactly 2
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $15.1K · Liquidity $14.1K
Exactly 3
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $13.5K · Liquidity $11.3K
5 or more
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $11.9K · Liquidity $11.4K
Exactly 4
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $10.5K · Liquidity $9.6K
Resolution rules
If exactly 0 members of the Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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