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How many House Republicans will lose reelection in 2026?

Markets

  • 32 or more

    • Yes30%
    • No70%

    Volume $100 · Liquidity $100

  • 44 or more

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $2 · Liquidity $1

  • 16 or more

    • Yes96%
    • No5%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • 20 or more

    • Yes87%
    • No14%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • 24 or more

    • Yes68%
    • No33%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • 28 or more

    • Yes46%
    • No55%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • 36 or more

    • Yes14%
    • No87%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • 40 or more

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • 48 or more

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If at least 16 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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