Michigan: Benson's margin vs. El-Sayed's margin?
Markets
Benson by 6-9
- Yes26%
- No74%
Volume $2.5K · Liquidity $1.5K
Benson by 3-6
- Yes42%
- No58%
Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $1.2K
Benson by 0-3
- Yes15%
- No85%
Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $1.1K
Benson by 15+
- Yes12%
- No88%
Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $1.1K
Benson by 12-15
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $975
El-Sayed by 3+
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $936 · Liquidity $817
El-Sayed by 0-3
- Yes8%
- No92%
Volume $800 · Liquidity $725
Benson by 9-12
- Yes12%
- No88%
Volume $714.6 · Liquidity $714.6
Resolution rules
If Jocelyn Benson's margin in the Michigan governor election minus Abdul El-Sayed's margin in the Michigan U.S. Senate election is at least 15 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Politics markets
How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year? (Directional)
At least 1: 98%
24h vol $3 · Ends Nov 3, 2026
How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms?
Above 40: 96%
24h vol $1 · Ends Nov 3, 2026
How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties in 2026?
4: 31%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2026
How many states will redistrict before the midterms?
Below 8: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2026
How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?
At least 182: 88%
24h vol $7.1K · Ends Jan 3, 2027
Where will Democrats win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?
Colorado House: 54%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 3, 2027
Where will Republicans win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?
Utah Senate: 80%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 3, 2027
Who will hold Amy Klobuchar's Senate seat on February 1, 2027?
Kelly Morrison: 42%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 1, 2027
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Democrats sweep: 67%
24h vol $3.3M · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Democratic Party: 92%
24h vol $2.1M · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Democratic Party: 68%
24h vol $532.7K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
Above 52: 40%
24h vol $364.6K · Ends Feb 1, 2027

