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Will the midterms happen on time?

Markets

  • Will at least 50 states conduct 2026 U.S. House midterms on time?

    • Yes93%
    • No7%

    Volume $337K · Liquidity $245.3K

Resolution rules

If the regularly scheduled biennial federal general election for the U.S. House of Representatives is conducted on time in all 50 U.S. states on the federally prescribed Election Day for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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