Skip to content
TheKalshiAcademy
EN

Arizona's 9th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Gosar, 15+ pts

    • Yes68%
    • No32%

    Volume $3.8K · Liquidity $587.5

  • Gosar, 9+ pts

    • Yes84%
    • No16%

    Volume $3.1K · Liquidity $175

  • Gosar, 12+ pts

    • Yes78%
    • No22%

    Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $473

  • Gosar, 18+ pts

    • Yes67%
    • No33%

    Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $453.4

  • Gosar, 21+ pts

    • Yes54%
    • No46%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $276

  • Gosar, 24+ pts

    • Yes45%
    • No55%

    Volume $797.4 · Liquidity $193.4

  • Gosar, 27+ pts

    • Yes18%
    • No82%

    Volume $677 · Liquidity $175

  • Gosar, 30+ pts

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $76 · Liquidity $74

  • Gosar, 33+ pts

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arizona's 9th District by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

More Politics markets