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California's 22nd District margin of victory

Markets

  • Villegas, 10+ pts

    • Yes42%
    • No58%

    Volume $978.1 · Liquidity $890.1

  • Villegas, 1+ pts

    • Yes87%
    • No13%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Villegas, 4+ pts

    • Yes77%
    • No23%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Villegas, 7+ pts

    • Yes63%
    • No37%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Villegas, 13+ pts

    • Yes31%
    • No69%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Villegas, 16+ pts

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Villegas, 19+ pts

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 22nd District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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