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California's 49th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Levin, 30+ pts

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $5 · Liquidity $5

  • Levin, 9+ pts

    • Yes92%
    • No8%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Levin, 12+ pts

    • Yes87%
    • No13%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Levin, 15+ pts

    • Yes77%
    • No23%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Levin, 18+ pts

    • Yes65%
    • No35%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Levin, 21+ pts

    • Yes51%
    • No49%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Levin, 24+ pts

    • Yes37%
    • No63%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Levin, 27+ pts

    • Yes24%
    • No76%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Levin, 33+ pts

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 49th District by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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