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Connecticut Governor margin of victory

Markets

  • Lamont, 14+ pts

    • Yes80%
    • No20%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $262.1

  • Lamont, 20+ pts

    • Yes56%
    • No44%

    Volume $930 · Liquidity $930

  • Lamont, 23+ pts

    • Yes30%
    • No70%

    Volume $855.6 · Liquidity $843.6

  • Lamont, 17+ pts

    • Yes66%
    • No34%

    Volume $835.2 · Liquidity $810

  • Lamont, 26+ pts

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $658.6 · Liquidity $438.6

  • Lamont, 8+ pts

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $188.4 · Liquidity $188.4

  • Lamont, 11+ pts

    • Yes76%
    • No24%

    Volume $164.8 · Liquidity $145.8

  • Lamont, 32+ pts

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $2 · Liquidity $1

  • Lamont, 29+ pts

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Connecticut by 8 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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