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Florida's 5th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Rutherford, 11+ pts

    • Yes59%
    • No41%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • Rutherford, 14+ pts

    • Yes56%
    • No44%

    Volume $186 · Liquidity $186

  • Rutherford, 20+ pts

    • Yes35%
    • No65%

    Volume $186 · Liquidity $186

  • Rutherford, 17+ pts

    • Yes44%
    • No56%

    Volume $138 · Liquidity $133

  • Rutherford, 23+ pts

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $2 · Liquidity $2

  • Rutherford, 8+ pts

    • Yes68%
    • No32%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Rutherford, 26+ pts

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Rutherford, 29+ pts

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Rutherford, 5+ pts

    • Yes79%
    • No21%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Florida's 5th District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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