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Florida's 6th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Fine, 15+ pts

    • Yes71%
    • No29%

    Volume $46 · Liquidity $44

  • Fine, 12+ pts

    • Yes80%
    • No20%

    Volume $30 · Liquidity $21

  • Fine, 21+ pts

    • Yes44%
    • No56%

    Volume $29 · Liquidity $29

  • Fine, 9+ pts

    • Yes77%
    • No23%

    Volume $24 · Liquidity $13

  • Fine, 18+ pts

    • Yes75%
    • No25%

    Volume $10 · Liquidity $10

  • Fine, 27+ pts

    • Yes16%
    • No84%

    Volume $4 · Liquidity $4

  • Fine, 24+ pts

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Fine, 30+ pts

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Fine, 33+ pts

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Florida's 6th District by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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